I redo IDG’s "next-gen" console predictions

Share your perspective. Keep it thoughtful, welcoming and on topic.

1. Those "experts" have this to say in regards to the X360; "Sales should also benefit from the constricted supply of both PS3 and Wii."Hm… constricted supply of Wii? Those are great "experts". They give Nintendo absolutely no credit for what they've done with the DS and how they've applied that same strategy to the Wii. I'm not saying its a guarenteed win for Nintendo but I still think Wii will beat out PS3 as handily as DS beat out PSP.

2. Uhm.. Wii selling only 14 million by 2010? What the fuck are they smoking to come up with that? I like your graph better Jack.

3. Thanks Shinn.To just add to this… it's a silly little graph that I drew up, but I think that reflects upon the silliness of IDG's numbers. In the original graph, which I linked to, the PS3 growth is represented by a completely straight diagonal line. If this was an average plot of the ups and downs of PS3 growth over the next 5 years, I'd accept it a little, but it's not. They honestly want us to believe the PS3, shortages and format wars with MS and all, is going to rise with 50% growth year over year, every year until 2010. BS.

4. What I would really like if these guys actually lost credibility after making all these sponsored graphs. The can say whatever they get in their dreams and publish it and shit…MY FORECAST FOR THIS COMING GENERATION:PIRACY WILL RUN AMOCK!

5. Completely ridiculous, it's obviously way too early to even try to make an accurate guess as to how the entire next generation is going to play out.

6. The Xbox 360 line is about right, the PS3 is too high (it should curve off), and the Wii is way too low.

7. Geez Jack, you can't just present facts, can you? You always gotta skew any information you don't like your way. I believe the term for that is bad journalism. Now I disagree with this graph, but I think it should be presented unbiasedly. But, then again, look who I'm talking to.

8. I second what anonymous said.

9. That chart is retarded. The perfectly straight line alone says it was paid for by Sony.But the anals were right about the PSP crushing the DS!

10. There is NO way you can make a sales prediction for the next four years right now!! The sales will depend heavily on how good the games are.As for the short-term: the graph is absolutely wrong just from the simple fact that Sony won't have that many units to sell to begin with, and that the Wii is creating much more noise right now, so the intial sales should favor the Wii a lot more.

11. Am I the only person that notices that they have the PS3 beating the Wii in 2006????? That alone makes this graph worthless

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